May 8th, 2013

Auto and Truck Parts Suppliers

I believe I’ve finally made some sense of how to differentiate between the Weekly Recap Reports offered to Members, the Stock Chartist blog and the articles I begun to write for SeekingAlpha.com. I believe the answer was provided by Seeking Alpha when they made clear that their preference is for fundamental as contrasted with technical analysis.

Every investment decision begins with a clear vision of the market’s near-term direction, or what Seeking Alpha calls “Market Orientation”. My last two articles met the prerequisites of that category and were well accepted by the Seeking Alpha readers. Once you have a market point-of-view, the next step is stock selection.

If market timing indicates that the time is opportunity for new investments then the next challenge is choosing from among the 7000 stocks and ETFs. One can do attempt to narrow the search down to a few of the best stocks by, what Cramer calls, “doing your homework”. Or you can use my approach of finding stocks that appear to be ready to cross out of consolidation or reversal areas (i.e., patterns) by crossing above resistance zones (i.e., trendlines) focusing first among the Industry Groups that seem to be most desirable at the time to the “herd”, or Wall Street’s institutional investors. The approach I use for this final step is, of course, my various scans and a continual search through literally hundreds of charts.

Instant Alerts members have the benefit of both market and stock selection plus an inside view of how I manage my Portfolio.

Bottom line, the blog will now focus on individual stocks based on my own Industry Group and stock chart analysis. Some blog posts will focus on an individual stock while other posts might include several stocks. The following is the first:

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imageThe stocks of several truck and auto original and replacement parts suppliers have advanced smartly since the beginning of the year, like AXL, DORM, SMP, LKQ and DLPH. Even though these have significant momentum, I avoid them because these are now far above what I consider breakout entry points where initial positions can be safely established.

However, a few have recently or are about to break out of consolidation areas.  I consider them consolidations since there’s nothing to indicate that the market is anywhere near making a significant reversal.  Those stocks include:

  • BWABWA - 20130508
  • LEARLEA - 20130508
  • DANDAN - 20130508
  • WBCWBC - 20130508
  • THRMTHRM - 20130508

It goes without saying that these stocks and their charts were selected exclusively on the basis on a technical analysis of price action and timeliness of an investment. There’s no attempt to rank them as to prospective appreciation of each nor the time needed to achieve those gains. Investors should assess their own tolerance for risk and perform their own assessment of their suitability to be included in a portfolio.

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