May 16th, 2013
When it comes to stock selection I usually fall back on the following slogan: “50% of a stock’s price movement can be attributed to the overall movement in the market, 30% to the movement in its sector and only 20% on its own”.
I believe the stock market is in the early phase of a major secular bull market. This is when you want to jump on a trend early and stick with your proven winners for the long haul and earn those large percentage gains. To do this, you want to try to identify industry groups that contain many individual stocks. Finally, you use charts to identify those stocks that have had large percentage moves in the (long-term) past but have been held back in consolidation zones for a number of years.
There are many stocks that meet these criteria but the few shown below are representative. Granted, these charts cover eight years but they are similar to how the financial and homebuilder stocks look several years ago before their run.
In short, there seems to be something dramatic building in a wide range of stocks in the healthcare field over the past several years that could lead to a large number of breakouts across levels that could lead to significant price appreciation for some time: